Why Traders Say Volume Is Crypto Price Indicator of Choice

When it comes to analyzing markets, developing your own trading style can be the difference between a successful trade or financial pain.

Traders utilize a variety of indicators in order to add layers of confirmation to their bias in order to get the most accurate results. But what if you could only choose one indicator to use for the cryptocurrency market, what would it be and why?

A poll recently conducted by CoinDesk Markets revealed that volume was the indicator of choice for 39 percent of respondents, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) came in second place at 29 percent of the total vote.

The poll elicited some great responses for alternatives such as Elliott wave theory, divergences and the stochastic oscillator, which are useful in their own right but are highly dependent upon an individual’s technical charting style and experience.

We reached out to some prominent cryptocurrency traders and chartists to see what they thought was the one indicator they couldn’t live without.

Matt Thompson, Director of Business Development and Operations at Coinigy had this to say regarding his top pick for analyzing the crypto markets: “Volume is hands down the most important aspect outside of price.”

“Even for many other technical indicators, volume can serve as confirmation or rejection of a given hypothesis,” he continued.

Per definition, volume is meant to describe the total number of shares or contracts over a given period and is usually expressed in a bar chart. Professional traders and chartists use volume to great advantage, following the mantra that if the price falls along with volume, it generally marks a point of exhaustion, signaling a reversal will happen soon.

While conversely, a rise in price with a drop in total volume presents a stronger case for the bears as they drag prices for a lower bid, usually upon meeting a key resistance zone.

Crypto Twitter chartist Josh Rager agrees with that sentiment. “I think volume is a good indicator. Higher price and low volume usually lead to a drop in price,” he said.

“TheCryptoDog,” a prominent Twitter personality and chartist, also backed volume as a “crucial” element in his technical analysis, telling CoinDesk:

“Volume speaks to the sincerity of the price action it is tied to. Volume for me is imperative.”

Putting it to Practice

So, what does using volume look like in practice?

In the chart above, we can see the bitcoin price on Coinbase on December 8. The day’s trading closed mid-candle (during a price movement) at a time when volume was shooting up. If the volume is bullish and moving higher, but the price is dropping, it’s usually is a tell that traders hoping the price will rise are in danger of being trapped and are forced to sell for lower than they entered.

Price action thus turned until another decision was made two days later when on December 10 prices attempted to forge ahead beyond the $3,585 resistance level and were beaten back. A modest showing from the bears plunged bitcoin into a lower channel between $3,257 and then below $3,129 on December 12.

It has since rallied from its low position back to levels not seen in over a week with the backing of strong bullish volume.

A Useful Tool

Volume does have its faults for all its merit, however.

For example, volume on crypto exchanges might not actually represent that buyers will follow-through with an intended purchase. Volume can be faked with what’s known as “wash trading,” a term that refers to when traders put in orders for other traders to see, but withdraw them before they are filled.

It is true that particular exchanges have been caught up in a scandal surrounding true volume being displayed incorrectly, thereby manipulating traders into entering an unprofitable and risky trade.

Traders like Rager, however, believe bitcoin is a rarity among cryptocurrencies in that its market has real liquidity. “I think bitcoin is different,  there is so much liquidity compared to other cryptos,” he said.

Still, there is validity in analyzing bitcoin’s association with total volume on the charts, not least because they provide an additional signal to add to your bias, but because it can signal interest in the asset class as a whole, represented in grandaddy bitcoin’s demand – just be sure to select an exchange that can be cleared of any wrongdoing.

As “TheCryptoDog” puts it:

“If volume diverges from a trend, e.g. price continues to rise while volume falls off, then I start to think, ‘Perhaps this trend is weakening.’”

Disclosure: The author USDT at the time of writing.

River image via Shutterstock; charts by Trading View

Why Traders Say Volume Is Crypto Price Indicator of Choice

Still the King: Bitcoin Dominance Hits 3-Month High as Crypto Market Limps Toward 2019

Bitcoin’s share of total cryptocurrency market capitalisation is at its highest point in three months, currently standing at about 55.14 percent according to data from CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin Dominance Surges amid Crypto Price Panic The next four high volume cryptocurrencies in order of market volume are XRP with 11.14 percent, ethereum with 8.55 percent, bitcoin cash

The post Still the King: Bitcoin Dominance Hits 3-Month High as Crypto Market Limps Toward 2019 appeared first on CCN

https://www.ccn.com/still-the-king-bitcoin-dominance-hits-3-month-high-as-crypto-market-limps-toward-2019/

Crypto-stuff detected #3 ENG/HUN – Earn tokens during the game

Eat people as a zombie, be a war-rider, do pump&dump, and earn real BTC in a MMORPG!

I start a series of articles, about crypto-related stuffs, what i find on Steemhunt, on a producthunt platform, where i’m a member, and i can dig cool stuffs. If i’m a boring person, i write to “my top5 hunt today”, or something like this. But isn’t top5, it is the topCRYPTO.

Of course, you can do it yourself on Steemhunt, there’s hundreds of products each day, but if you are interested about crypto, you can enjoy my digest, doesn’t need to spend hours there!

This article is more teaser, less review, and this is a kind-of-a-pilot-article, so i may need some upgrade at time.

HUN

Új cikksorozatot indítok, a Steemhunt oldalon talált kriptopénz-témához kapcsolódó dolgokról. Projektek, appok, webszolgáltatások, minden, ami a kriptóhoz kapcsolódik. Nem napi top5-ként, hanem topKRIPTÓként.

***

The gamers are unstoppable, and the game-industry knows this. We have many new or newish games, based on blockchains, and not just those that available for money, then in which you can earn money!

HUN

A játékipar pontosan tudja, hogy a játékosok megállíthatatlanok, és folyamatosan szállítja is nekik a napi betevőt. Sok játék tűnik fel blokkláncokon is, amelyek között van, ahol fizetnek neked a játékért, akár saját tokennel, akár bitcoinnal.Játssz zombiként, robbantsd fel a riválisok járműveit egy sivatagos, posztapokaliptikus Földön, vagy játssz online szerepjátékkal, ahol a cég btc-vel jutalmaz a teljesítményedért!

1:

It seems funny 😀 In the bored games you are faced alone with the enemy, just with your weapons, and you try to protect your brain, against the zombies. But not in this one! Be you the zombie! Discover new perspectives, meet new people, and eat them!

Photo #1 from Dunaremete, Hungary by kriptonik made on 2018-10-18 13:12 for Sola

In this game you can earn the ERC-20 ZOB token, what currently you can convert 0.0005 ETH/1 ZOB on exchange.

HUN

Zombihorroros játék apró csavarral, itt zombit alakítasz, nem túlélőt 🙂 Nem olyan unalmas, mint a 12 egy tucat zombivírusos játékok, amelyekből több, mint elég született az elmúlt évtizedben. Fedezz fel új perspektívákat, találkozz új emberekkel, aztán fald fel őket!A játékon belül egy ERC-20 tokent, a ZOB-ot kapod, amelyet aztán Ethereumra válthatsz.

2:

A Mad Max inspired MMO game, in the post-apocalyptic future, where’s no money anymore, except BENZENE, the last cryptocurrency, “and all people are killing each other for it”. Strong start 🙂 If you liked the Carmageddon series, i think, you should make a try 😉

I dont find nothing about the benzene, so i dont know, its worth something or not, but the game is cool.

Photo #2 from Dunaremete, Hungary by kriptonik made on 2018-10-18 13:12 for Sola

HUN

A Carmageddon és a Mad Max szerelemgyerekeként jött világra ez a játék, ahol a sivár, sivatagos jövőben az utolsó megmaradt kriptovalutát, a BENZENE-t hajszolva nyírják egymást a játékosok. Ezek szerint a btc a jövőben elveszti a dominanciáját a kriptoverzumban 😀

Magáról a tokenről nem tudok többet, szóval könnyen előfordulhat, hogy semmit sem ér (na de majd a jövőben!), viszont a játék elég király!

3:

A collectible, pimpable (is there such a word at all?) card game, based on EOS blockchain. For this you need some eos in your wallet, and you can’t earn directly coins, but like in Crytokitties, the ingame items are tradeable.

Photo #3 from Dunaremete, Hungary by kriptonik made on 2018-10-18 13:12 for Sola

And the Hamster-Neo is priceless 😀

HUN

Először azt hittem, valamilyen tőzsdeszimulátor lesz, ahol shitcoinokat kell dédelgetnünk, miközben cilinderben szivarozva kacagunk a dumpolt kisbefektetők jajszaván. De nem az. Klasszikus gyűjtögetős kártyajáték az EOS blokkláncon, párviadalokat játszhatsz a pakliddal, amely lapjait mindenféle megvásárolható tárggyal turbózhatod, így javítva az esélyeidet.

A kulcsszó itt a megvásárolható, ez ugyanis nem fizet neked a játékért (sőt, eos kell ahhoz, hogy játssz), viszont ha átveszi a Crytokitties helyét, egy-egy komolyabb lap elképzelhetetlen összegekért fog gazdát cserélni, abban biztos vagyok.

4:

Average MMORPG, but you can receive real BTC from the developer company GMO, based on your rank and missions! The company have own btc-mining operation for rewards, so maybe your old dream comes true, you can earn money during play games 🙂

Photo #4 from Dunaremete, Hungary by kriptonik made on 2018-10-18 13:12 for Sola

HUN

Ez egy ingyenes, klasszikus online szerepjáték Androidra és IOs-re, egy karaktert alakítasz, akivel le kell zúznod az ellenfeleidet. A játék nem blokkláncon fut, viszont a fejlesztők bitcoinnal jutalmazzák a teljesítményed. Ehhez a saját bányász-szekciójukat is létrehozták, hogy legyen miből finanszírozni a kifizetéseket. Ez mindenesetre előremutató hozzáállás, ha felül tudsz emelkedni az erősen rajzfilmes (értsd cuki animés) grafikán, érdemes tenni vele egy próbát.

Bitcoin Dominance Reaches 58% – Ethereum Continues to Drop

 

Bitcoin dominance has reached its highest point this year, currently it’s sitting at a whopping 58% of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization. While many altcoins are currently deep in the red, Bitcoin is holding on to positions above $6000. Bitcoin might be one of the few coins able to retain most of its value, that doesn’t mean we’re out of the bear market just yet.

Read more

Venezuelans Buying Bitcoin

Source: cointelegraph.com

People in Venezuela have be suffering from the devaluation of the bolivar for several months.  Last year the inflation was estimated at 2,616%, in terms of prices the average costs have risen by 27 times.  The inflation is only an estimate as the government stopped publishing inflation data two years ago.

This is assuming that the goods can be gotten.

Most of the goods used in daily life are scarce and most importantly the medicines like polio, diphtheria, measles and malaria vaccines are in very short supply.  The shortage of vaccines has resulted in an outbreak in diseases which only a few years ago were under control.

To gain some control on the rising inflation or the devaluation of the bolivar, Venezuelans are trading in their bolivars for bitcoins.  Even though the price of bitcoin is highly volatile but it has a better chance of holding its value than the bolivar.  Bitcoin has a market albeit small, the people can find a way to exchange the crypto for needed commodities.

Crypto Collapse

Source: zerohedge.com

Bitcoin has lowest close since November 2017, closing at $6,385 and Ethereum closed at $466.32.  Both coins fell through their technical support levels.

 

A disturbing relationship between bitcoin and tether is adding to the concerns over bitcoin.  Tether is one of the most traded currencies and it shows an uncanny pattern that indicates it is being used to shore up the bitcoin price.  John Griffin and Amin Shams, both from the University of Texas issued a paper regarding the relationship over a yearlong term.  They  determined that tethers are created in large blocks and most of the coins are moved to Bitfinex and stored.  When the price of bitcoin falls tethers are used to purchase bitcoins to stem the drop in bitcoin’s price.  This action is not suspect as it is a standard practice to buy the dips but the standard practice involves a reciprocal action of selling when the price goes up.  When it comes to tether, this is not the case.  This would seem to indicate that tether is used to protect the bitcoin price.

 

Crypto investors found this report unnerving and have moved to sell off their long positions causing the price to further slump.  There is no indication that the crypto market will soon disappear but it does appear that the cryptos are falling to their realistic values.  The meteoric rise was not realistic for any asset and it was always believed that when bitcoin almost reached $20,000, the coin was in bubble territory.

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The End?

Is this our last chance for an effective bounce?

To be honest I pretty much believe we are in a bear market and all of this looks and feels a lot like 2014 to me. As such I would not be surprised if we will see many more lower lows and as long as we stay above 1k, everything is fine long term to me.

That said, there seems to be chance that the market may turn around just about now.

Lasst Chance2.JPG

We also some positive indication from the RSI and at least the histogram of the MACD looks like there is some potential to the upside.

However even IF we bounce and rally, this does not mean the bear market is over. IN fact I would be looking for short opportunities around 11k and 15k.

But I do think that a breakthrough of the downtrend is a possibility given how oversold the market is currently.

Most analyst however seem to expect the prices to go down direktly from here, but what the consensus things the market is doing, usually is what the market does not do.

Is this our last chance for an effective bounce?

To be honest I pretty much believe we are in a bear market and all of this looks and feels a lot like 2014 to me. As such I would not be surprised if we will see many more lower lows and as long as we stay above 1k, everything is fine long term to me.

That said, there seems to be chance that the market may turn around just about now.

 

We also some positive indication from the RSI and at least the histogram of the MACD looks like there is some potential to the upside.

However even IF we bounce and rally, this does not mean the bear market is over. IN fact I would be looking for short opportunities around 11k and 15k.

But I do think that a breakthrough of the downtrend is a possibility given how oversold the market is currently.

Most analyst however seem to expect the prices to go down directly from here, but what the consensus things the market is doing, usually is what the market does not do.

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Seized Bitcoins to be Auctioned

The US Marshals Service is holding an auction offering nearly $25 million of seized bitcoins. The seizures resulted from various federal criminal, civil and administrative cases. The list of cases where the bitcoins were seized are named in an official notice posted on the US Marshal’s website.

The auction is slated to take place on March 19 from 8 am to 2 pm. Bidders who would like to participate need to fulfill the registration requirements by noon EDT on March 14 along with a deposit of $200,000.

The bitcoins will be auctioned off in 14 different blocks, 2 blocks of 500 bitcoins, 11 blocks of 100 bitcoins and 1 block of about 70 bitcoins.

A prior auction was held on January 22, 2018 where they auctioned 3,813 bitcoins worth over $40 million and in August of 2016 they auctioned 2,700 bitcoins worth about $1.6 million. These dollar amounts were calculated on the value of bitcoin at the time of the auctions.

Source: zerohedge.com

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Bitcoin’s value is driven by human emotion, not code. Thoughts?

In the past week, Bitcoin took a dramatic tumble after its historic 1,400pc rally. The digital currency eventually rebounded only hours later but it left Bitcoin investors reeling with fears that the bubble had finally burst.

While data scientists, software developers and financial engineers are busy at work on more complex algorithmic trading platforms to better predict – and optimise – this volatility, they may be looking in the wrong place. Software code and computer science might provide part of the answers but the rest can be found through a surprising source: the humanities.

Bitcoin, like any currency, is really just an expression of mutual trust in cultural norms and practices. It is a feat of our collective imaginations that we can all agree on our varied currency narratives. I trust that my five goats are going to be worth your five shells, for example.

Cyber currency enthusiasts continue to argue that blockchain technology obviates the need for messy and outdated conceits such as trust in institutional banking and trading clearing houses.

And yet, while Bitcoin security may be predicated on mathematics, Bitcoin value is an intrinsically social calculation. Consequently, humanities continue to be our best way of teasing out the nuances in ideas around shared cultural understandings and beliefs.

So where can we turn when we want to better understand the radically changing notions of value that exist in this new wave of crypto assets? The investor Bob Miller, of Miller Value Partners in Baltimore, is betting big on philosophy. He just made a $75m gift to the philosophy department at Johns Hopkins University, believing that a strong humanities faculty will give our society smarter thinkers.

When our shared understanding of worth undergoes a fundamental structural shift, algorithmic modelling is not going to give us any insights. Only the humanities can help us gain perspective around our changing norms, networks and social institutions.

The idea that the humanities provide some of the essential building blocks to financial and business success strikes us as radical in the midst of a preoccupation with an algorithmic understanding of the world. Yet it was not so long ago when it was commonplace for leaders in finance, media, or policy to have a background in the humanities.

For instance, Ken Chenault, former chief executive of American Express, cited his in-depth study of history as a touchstone for his leadership and managerial acumen; Carly Fiorina, president and chief executive of Hewlett Packard from 1999 to 2005, described her undergraduate major in medieval history as the perfect foundation for understanding the hi-tech world; the investor Carl Icahn’s senior thesis in philosophy at Princeton was titled, The Problem of Formulating an Adequate Explication of the Empiricist Criterion of Meaning; and Steven Schwartzman, chief executive of the private equity firm Blackstone, chose an interdisciplinary major at Yale that he described as “psychology, sociology, anthropology, and biology, which is really sort of the study of the human being”.

It used to be assumed that a better understanding of culture and shared worlds – the cyberpunk world from which Bitcoin emerged, for example – would create better investment and business decisions.

Today we rush far too quickly into an understanding based on aggregation and quantification. And yet when Bitcoin takes its investors on a wild ride, it’s a uniquely human phenomenon.

Without tapping into the human sciences, we will never really come close to understanding why it happened and what it all means.

Sam Broye

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Investors Want Philippines Government to Allow Freedom

Investors in the Philippines want the government to ease concerns on cryptocurrencies

The exponential growth of Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency space, in general, have struck a chord amongst Philippine investors that they are asking the government monetary policymakers to address the concern about the blockchain technology.

Francis Arjonillo, the President of the First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC) has asked the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), the government’s central bank, to have a policy that address’ the surge in cryptocurrency investing.

Pushing for more assurance of cryptocurrency, Francis Arjonillo has said that it is a huge threat to the money system and the ability for banks to control money. He is also concerned about security and hacking of crypto wallets and woants these issues addressed before banks start to embrace the technology.

The BSP said it is working with the Securities and Exchange Commission to draft a new rule on cryptocurrencies like when used to investment. So far the BSP has approved two currency exchanges to operate in the country, Rebittance and Betur, also known as coins.ph.

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